World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Argentina
0 - 2
Uruguay

Mac Allister (35'), Martinez (68'), Romero (77'), Palacios (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Araujo (41'), Nunez (87')
Ugarte (32'), Gimenez (67'), Olivera (79')

Lionel Messi hits out at 'lack of respect' from Uruguay players

Lionel Messi insists that some Uruguay players need to learn to "respect their elders" following Argentina's 2-0 defeat in Buenos Aires.

Nov 17, 15:32

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Thursday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Uruguay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Peru 0-2 Argentina
Wednesday, October 18 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	7	12
2	Uruguay	4	3	7
3	Brazil	4	3	7
4	Venezuela	4	3	7
5	Ecuador	4	1	7
6	Colombia	4	1	6
7	Paraguay	4	-1	4
8	Chile	4	-3	4
9	Peru	4	-5	1
10	Bolivia	4	-9	0

Uruguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Brazil
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	7	12
2	Uruguay	4	3	7
3	Brazil	4	3	7
4	Venezuela	4	3	7
5	Ecuador	4	1	7
6	Colombia	4	1	6
7	Paraguay	4	-1	4
8	Chile	4	-3	4
9	Peru	4	-5	1
10	Bolivia	4	-9	0

We said: Argentina 2-0 Uruguay

Argentina cannot take Uruguay lightly following their impressive win over Brazil last time out, but the world champions will be regarded as favourites for Friday's contest. Scaloni seems to have settled on a side that has enjoyed plenty of success over the last 12 months and with star man Messi set to lead his nation out once again, we believe that the hosts should have few problems claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 8.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.39%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Uruguay
73.23% ( -0.1)	18.3% ( 0.4)	8.48% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 36.17% (

-2.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.97% (

-2.41)

52.03% (

2.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.24% (

-2.12)

73.76% (

2.12)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.22% (

-0.73)

12.79% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.92% (

-1.52)

39.08% (

1.52)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.48% (

-2.18)

58.52% (

2.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.12% (

-1.21)

89.88% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Argentina 73.22%

Uruguay 8.48%

Draw 18.3%

Argentina	Draw	Uruguay
2-0 @ 15.82% ( 0.62) 1-0 @ 15.39% ( 1.02) 3-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.26) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.21% Total : 73.22%	1-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.3%	0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.19% Total : 8.48%