World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Argentina0 - 2Uruguay
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Thursday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Uruguay.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Peru 0-2 Argentina
Wednesday, October 18 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, October 18 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Brazil
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Argentina 2-0 Uruguay
Argentina cannot take Uruguay lightly following their impressive win over Brazil last time out, but the world champions will be regarded as favourites for Friday's contest. Scaloni seems to have settled on a side that has enjoyed plenty of success over the last 12 months and with star man Messi set to lead his nation out once again, we believe that the hosts should have few problems claiming all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 8.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.39%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Argentina | Draw | Uruguay |
73.23% ( -0.1) | 18.3% ( 0.4) | 8.48% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 36.17% ( -2.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.97% ( -2.41) | 52.03% ( 2.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.24% ( -2.12) | 73.76% ( 2.12) |
Argentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.22% ( -0.73) | 12.79% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.92% ( -1.52) | 39.08% ( 1.52) |
Uruguay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.48% ( -2.18) | 58.52% ( 2.18) |