Ecuador2 - 1Uruguay
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, September 8 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Ecuador 2-1 Uruguay
While the visitors have been the dominant team in this encounter over the last few years, Ecuador are a very good side on their home patch and have won each of their last three against this opponent when playing at home. We expect this to be a free-flowing and entertaining match but fancy the hosts to win it by a one-goal margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 45.34%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ecuador in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ecuador.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Uruguay |
45.34% ( -0.24) | 29.23% ( 0.04) | 25.43% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 40.79% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
