MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:12:05| >> :60:247:247:
Ecuador national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Bolivia national football team

Ecuador
1 - 0
Bolivia

Valencia (69')
Estupinan (13'), Pacho (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roca (41'), Terceros (53'), Arrascaita (73'), Ursino (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Australia 1-2 Ecuador
Tuesday, March 28 at 9.30am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Ecuador 3-0 Bolivia

It is difficult to see anything other than a convincing Ecuador victory here, especially since La Tri are seeking their fifth consecutive triumph against Bolivia. La Verde, despite their win against Saudi Arabia, have struggled to get results in recent times, so we are predicting that Ecuador will secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawBolivia
72.87% (0.31 0.31) 18.03% (-0.34 -0.34) 9.1% (0.030100000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 39.29% (1.083 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (1.448 1.45)49.18% (-1.448 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (1.291 1.29)71.24% (-1.291 -1.29)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.94% (0.506 0.51)12.06% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.44% (1.064 1.06)37.56% (-1.063 -1.06)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.68% (0.98099999999999 0.98)55.32% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.93% (0.573 0.57)88.07% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 72.86%
    Bolivia 9.1%
    Draw 18.03%
EcuadorDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 14.92% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-0 @ 14.11% (-0.56 -0.56)
3-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.186 0.19)
4-0 @ 5.57% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.161 0.16)
5-0 @ 2.36% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.108 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 72.86%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.404 -0.4)
2-2 @ 2.62% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.95% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-2 @ 2.47% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 9.1%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Bolivia

Ecuador
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Bolivia
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2021 1.30am
Mar 29, 2021 9.30pm
Friendlies 1
Ecuador
2-1
Bolivia
Martinez (37'), Estrada (59')
Arroyo (55')
Ramallo (90+4')
Montero (12')
Nov 12, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
2-3
Ecuador
Carlos Arce (37'), Moreno (60')
Jusino (18'), Montero (78')
Caicedo (46'), Mena (55'), Gruezo (88' pen.)
Caicedo (45'), Gruezo (45+2')
Sep 11, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
3-0
Bolivia
Estrada (49'), Sornoza (72' pen.), Plata (86')
Torres (40'), Mendez (62')

Chumacero (18'), Campos (53')
Jun 15, 2015 10pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!