Friendlies 1
Jun 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Ecuador1 - 0Bolivia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Australia 1-2 Ecuador
Tuesday, March 28 at 9.30am in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 28 at 9.30am in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Ecuador 3-0 Bolivia
It is difficult to see anything other than a convincing Ecuador victory here, especially since La Tri are seeking their fifth consecutive triumph against Bolivia. La Verde, despite their win against Saudi Arabia, have struggled to get results in recent times, so we are predicting that Ecuador will secure the win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Bolivia |
72.87% ( 0.31) | 18.03% ( -0.34) | 9.1% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.29% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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