Friendlies 1

Mar 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Saudi Arabia
1 - 2
Bolivia

Al-Dawsari (44' pen.)
Al-Owais (55'), Kanoo (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moreno (13'), Algaranaz (67')
Bejarano (19'), Medina (24'), Quinteros (43'), Chura (90+3'), Moreno (90+3'), Ursino (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Venezuela
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	3	6
2	Poland	3	0	4
3	Mexico	3	-1	4
4	Saudi Arabia	3	-2	3

Bolivia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 Bolivia
Friday, March 24 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

We said: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Bolivia

The Bolivians have been a little sharper on the defensive end since Costas took over, but they have not shown to be creative on the ball, so we anticipate the overall quality of the Green Falcons will get the better of them on Tuesday, while possibly sending their manager off on a winning note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Bolivia
61.32% ( -0)	22.39% ( 0.01)	16.29% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.88% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.3% (

-0.04)

50.7% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4% (

-0.03)

72.6% (

0.03)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.93% (

-0.02)

16.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.55% (

-0.03)

45.45% (

0.03)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.85% (

-0.03)

44.15% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.76% (

-0.02)

80.24% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 61.3%

Bolivia 16.29%

Draw 22.38%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Bolivia
1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 61.3%	1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.38%	0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 16.29%