International Friendly
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Attwan (14'), Razzaq Farhan (53'), Bayesh (65'),
Younis (81')
FT
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Iraq Wednesday, November 9 at 3am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Iraq vs. Belgium Tuesday, November 15 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Japan Tuesday, September 27 at 12.55pm in International Friendlies
We said: Iraq 1-1 Ecuador
It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect from international friendlies, especially this close to a major tournament. Ecuador will be wanting to enter the World Cup off the back of a win, but they will be missing a number of important players for this match, and we can therefore see a low-scoring draw here.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 38.31% . A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.75%) . The likeliest Iraq win was 0-1 (9.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Ecuador Draw Iraq 38.31% ( -0.05) 26.83% ( -0) 34.86% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.02)
46.25% ( 0.02) 53.74% ( -0.02)
24.78% ( 0.01) 75.22% ( -0.02)
72.71% ( -0.02) 27.28% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.28% ( -0.03) 62.72% ( 0.02)
70.65% ( 0.04) 29.34% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.68% ( 0.05) 65.32% ( -0.05)
Ecuador 38.3%
Iraq 34.86%
Draw 26.83%
Ecuador Draw Iraq 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.3% 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83% 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.86%
How you voted: Iraq vs Ecuador
19
rhs 2.0
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