MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 19:38:56| >> :60:568:568:
Ecuador national football team
International Friendly
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 
Iraq national football team

Ecuador
0 - 0
Iraq


Attwan (14'), Razzaq Farhan (53'), Bayesh (65'), Younis (81')
FT

Reasco (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Iraq and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Iraq
Wednesday, November 9 at 3am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Iraq vs. Belgium
Tuesday, November 15 at 12am in International Friendlies

Ecuador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Japan
Tuesday, September 27 at 12.55pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Qatar vs. Ecuador
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup

We said: Iraq 1-1 Ecuador

 It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect from international friendlies, especially this close to a major tournament. Ecuador will be wanting to enter the World Cup off the back of a win, but they will be missing a number of important players for this match, and we can therefore see a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Iraq win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawIraq
38.31% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 26.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 34.86% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.74% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.22% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)27.28% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)62.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (0.037999999999997 0.04)29.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.048999999999999 0.05)65.32% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 38.3%
    Iraq 34.86%
    Draw 26.83%
EcuadorDrawIraq
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.3%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.86%

How you voted: Iraq vs Ecuador

Iraq
31.6%
Draw
10.5%
Ecuador
57.9%
19
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