World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ecuador1 - 2Senegal
The Match
Match Report
Kalidou Koulibaly clinches a vital win for Senegal in their World Cup 2022 winner-takes-all encounter with Ecuador.
Team News
Enner Valencia shakes off a knee issue to represent Ecuador against Senegal in their pivotal Group A fixture at the World Cup.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup clash between Ecuador and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Senegal could line up for Tuesday's World Cup clash with Ecuador at the Khalifa Interational Stadium
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 1-1 Ecuador
Friday, November 25 at 4pm in World Cup
Friday, November 25 at 4pm in World Cup
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ecuador | 2 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Netherlands | 2 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Senegal | 2 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Qatar | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 Senegal
Friday, November 25 at 1pm in World Cup
Friday, November 25 at 1pm in World Cup
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ecuador | 2 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Netherlands | 2 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Senegal | 2 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Qatar | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
Result | ||
Ecuador | Draw | Senegal |
32.13% ( 0.05) | 28.5% ( 0.01) | 39.37% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 45.86% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |