Friendlies 1
Mar 24, 2023 at 9am UK
Commbank Stadium
Australia3 - 1Ecuador
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentina 2-1 Australia
Saturday, December 3 at 7pm in World Cup
Saturday, December 3 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Denmark | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: Ecuador 1-2 Senegal
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Australia 1-0 Ecuador
Back in front of their home fans for the first time since an inspiring World Cup performance - and just a matter of months before the women's World Cup is held on the continent - Australia should be able to get the better of an Ecuador team stripped of their talismanic captain Valencia. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Australia | Draw | Ecuador |
42.74% ( -0.02) | 29.08% ( 0) | 28.18% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.55% ( -0) | 63.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.21% ( -0) | 82.79% ( -0) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -0.01) | 29.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.02) | 65.46% ( 0.01) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.7% ( 0.01) | 39.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24% ( 0.01) | 76% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Australia 42.73%
Ecuador 28.17%
Draw 29.07%
| Australia | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 14.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.47% Total : 28.17% |
How you voted: Australia vs Ecuador
Australia
65.1%Draw
16.7%Ecuador
18.3%126
