MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 00:13:27| >> :60:1726:1726:
Australia national football team
International Friendly
Sep 22, 2022 at 11am UK
ANZ Stadium
New Zealand national football team

Australia
1 - 0
New Zealand

Mabil (32')
Irvine (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boxall (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Australia and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Australia 0-0 Peru (5-4 pen.)
Monday, June 13 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-0 New Zealand
Tuesday, June 14 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

We said: Australia 3-1 New Zealand

New Zealand have the ability to cause their opponents problems, but the Socceroos have the stronger squad all round and should have enough to pick up the win on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Australia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Australia.

Result
AustraliaDrawNew Zealand
53.67% (-0.375 -0.38) 25.16% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 21.17% (0.332 0.33)
Both teams to score 47% (0.334 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (0.207 0.21)54.87% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (0.169 0.17)76.16% (-0.175 -0.17)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)20.44% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-0.109 -0.11)52.89% (0.103 0.1)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.07% (0.466 0.47)40.92% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.51% (0.415 0.41)77.48% (-0.422 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Australia 53.66%
    New Zealand 21.17%
    Draw 25.16%
AustraliaDrawNew Zealand
1-0 @ 13.28% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.3% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Australia vs New Zealand

Australia
82.2%
Draw
6.7%
New Zealand
11.1%
45
rhs 2.0
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