New Zealand have the ability to cause their opponents problems, but the Socceroos have the stronger squad all round and should have enough to pick up the win on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Australia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Australia.

Result
Australia	Draw	New Zealand
53.67% ( -0.38)	25.16% ( 0.04)	21.17% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 47% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13% (

0.21)

54.87% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84% (

0.17)

76.16% (

-0.17)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

-0.07)

20.44% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

-0.11)

52.89% (

0.1)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.07% (

0.47)

40.92% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.51% (

0.41)

77.48% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Australia 53.66%

New Zealand 21.17%

Draw 25.16%

Australia	Draw	New Zealand
1-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.66%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.17%