MX23RW : Friday, November 15 06:06:27| >> :120:14075:14075:
Venezuela national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2024 at 2am UK
Masafi Stadium
Mexico national football team

Venezuela
1 - 0
Mexico

Rondon (57' pen.)
Ferraresi (35'), Navarro (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gimenez (39'), Vega (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa America clash between Venezuela and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-2 Venezuela
Saturday, June 22 at 11pm in Copa America

Mexico

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Jamaica
Sunday, June 23 at 2am in Copa America

We said: Venezuela 2-1 Mexico

 Losing Alvarez is a big blow to the Mexicans, who have struggled with consistency since Lozano took charge, looking shaky in numerous instances against the Reggae Boyz. Venezuela will be brimming with confidence after their opening victory, and we believe they have the quality to unlock that Mexican backline and provide another surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawMexico
23.09% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 27.37% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 49.54% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 43.37% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.22% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)60.78% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.17% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)80.83% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.63% (-0.104 -0.1)42.37% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.24% (-0.09 -0.09)78.76% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (0.027000000000001 0.03)24.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (0.037000000000006 0.04)59.29% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 23.09%
    Mexico 49.54%
    Draw 27.36%
VenezuelaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 23.09%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 14.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-3 @ 4.76% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 49.54%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Mexico

Venezuela
39.8%
Draw
19.4%
Mexico
40.8%
196
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2019 2am
International Friendlies
Mexico
3-1
Venezuela
Alvarado (32'), Pizarro (54'), Guardado (76')
Gutierrez (41')
Murillo (18')
Rincon (44'), Rosales (61')
Jun 5, 2019
1am
International Friendlies
Mexico  
M
vs.
V
   Venezuela
rhs 2.0
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