World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Venezuela0 - 0Ecuador
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Venezuela 3-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 17 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, October 17 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, October 18 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, October 18 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Venezuela 1-1 Ecuador
Both sides will return to action with a degree of confidence and will be keen not to suffer a defeat after their positive starts to qualifying. Even without Enner Valencia, Ecuador do still possess plenty of quality, and while they may lack some threat, they should still have enough to take a share of the spoils on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Ecuador |
37.59% ( 1.84) | 30.63% ( 0.08) | 31.78% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 40.23% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
