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World Cup
Venezuela national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Ecuador national football team

Venezuela
0 - 0
Ecuador


Angel (9'), Andres Martinez (79')
FT

Hincapie (12'), Cifuentes (31'), Franco (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Venezuela and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 3-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 17 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, October 18 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Venezuela 1-1 Ecuador

 Both sides will return to action with a degree of confidence and will be keen not to suffer a defeat after their positive starts to qualifying. Even without Enner Valencia, Ecuador do still possess plenty of quality, and while they may lack some threat, they should still have enough to take a share of the spoils on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawEcuador
37.59% (1.839 1.84) 30.63% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 31.78% (-1.91 -1.91)
Both teams to score 40.23% (-0.438 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.79% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)67.22% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.59% (-0.264 -0.26)85.41% (0.273 0.27)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (1.003 1)34.51% (-0.994 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (1.052 1.05)71.22% (-1.044 -1.04)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.43% (-1.628 -1.63)38.57% (1.636 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69% (-1.589 -1.59)75.32% (1.597 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 37.59%
    Ecuador 31.78%
    Draw 30.62%
VenezuelaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 14.16% (0.58 0.58)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.503 0.5)
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.175 0.18)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.245 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.129 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.59%
1-1 @ 13.49% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 13.3% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.62%
0-1 @ 12.68% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.308 -0.31)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 31.78%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Ecuador

Venezuela
44.0%
Draw
26.0%
Ecuador
30.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-0
Venezuela
Hincapie (41')
Plata (22')

Ramirez (16'), Andres Martinez (25'), Martinez (45+2')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2021 9.30pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
2-1
Ecuador
Machis (45+1'), Bello (64')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
Valencia (37' pen.)
Mena (62'), Torres (85')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
2-2
Ecuador
Castillo (51'), Hernandez (90+1')
Preciado (39'), Plata (71')
Valencia (21'), Preciado (45+3'), Caicedo (81')
> Preview
Jun 2, 2019 2am
International Friendlies
Venezuela
1-1
Ecuador
Rosales (38' pen.)
Herrera (32'), Figuera (35')
Valencia (91')
Chicaiza (7')
rhs 2.0
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