MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:05:36| >> :60:702:702:
Mexico national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 23, 2024 at 2am UK
NRG Stadium
Jamaica national football team

Mexico
1 - 0
Jamaica

Arteaga (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa America clash between Mexico and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Brazil
Sunday, June 9 at 2am in International Friendlies

Jamaica

All competitions
Last Game: Dominica 2-3 Jamaica
Sunday, June 9 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

We said: Mexico 2-1 Jamaica

 This is a fascinating match, as although Jamaica are the underdogs, they have a lot of quality in their side. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Saturday, but Mexico should ultimately have enough to collect all three points in their competition opener. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result
MexicoDrawJamaica
44.74% (0.351 0.35) 25.76%29.5% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06% (-0.169 -0.17)50.94% (0.17 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (-0.149 -0.15)72.81% (0.148 0.15)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (0.093000000000004 0.09)22.71% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (0.138 0.14)56.37% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.34 -0.34)31.54% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.395 -0.4)67.94% (0.396 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 44.73%
    Jamaica 29.5%
    Draw 25.76%
MexicoDrawJamaica
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.5%

How you voted: Mexico vs Jamaica

Mexico
75.0%
Draw
13.8%
Jamaica
11.2%
152
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 3.36am
Semi-Finals
Jamaica
0-3
Mexico

Lowe (29'), Lambert (39'), Bernard (54')
Martin (2'), Chavez (30'), Alvarado (90+3')
Uriel (61'), Alvarez (90')
> Preview
Mar 27, 2023 1am
League A
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2-2
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1-1
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> Preview
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1-2
Mexico
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Jamaica
Vega (50'), Martin (89')
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