This is a fascinating match, as although Jamaica are the underdogs, they have a lot of quality in their side. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Saturday, but Mexico should ultimately have enough to collect all three points in their competition opener. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Jamaica
44.74% ( 0.35)	25.76%	29.5% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.06% (

-0.17)

50.94% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19% (

-0.15)

72.81% (

0.15)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

0.09)

22.71% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

0.14)

56.37% (

-0.14)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

-0.34)

31.54% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06% (

-0.4)

67.94% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Mexico 44.73%

Jamaica 29.5%

Draw 25.76%

Mexico	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.5%