World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 9.30pm UK

Wiener Neustadter Stadion

Jamaica
1 - 0
Dominican Rep.

Nicholson (16')
Lowe (45+3'), Johnson (52'), Hector (67'), Waite (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vasquez (45+1'), Morschel (54'), de Lucas (72'), Carlos Lopez (72'), Carlos Lopez (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Jamaica and Dominican Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

Last Game: Panama 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	0	0	0
2	Ecuador	0	0	0
3	Mexico	0	0	0
4	Jamaica	0	0	0

Dominican Republic

All competitions

Last Game: Peru 4-1 Dominican Rep.
Wednesday, March 27 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

We said: Jamaica 4-0 Dominican Republic

Despite the Reggae Boyz incurring a number of key injuries ahead of this encounter, this appears to be a mismatch, with Jamaica the far superior side. They will face an inexperienced Dominican opponent that have looked overwhelmed and out of sorts against the stronger teams in this region. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Dominican Republic win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.

Result
Jamaica	Draw	Dominican Republic
52.11% ( 0.08)	24.52% ( -0)	23.37% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.58% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.81% (

-0.05)

50.19% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.85% (

-0.05)

72.15% (

0.05)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76% (

0.01)

19.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.05% (

0.02)

50.94% (

-0.02)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.87% (

-0.1)

36.13% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

-0.1)

72.92% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Jamaica 52.1%

Dominican Republic 23.37%

Draw 24.52%

Jamaica	Draw	Dominican Republic
1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 52.1%	1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.52%	0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.37%