CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 18, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Independence Park
Jamaica1 - 2Canada
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Jamaica
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Canada
Friday, October 13 at 11.35am in International Friendlies
Friday, October 13 at 11.35am in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 7 |
2 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 5 |
3 | Guadeloupe | 3 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Cuba | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Jamaica 1-1 Canada
The surfaces in Jamaica have been notoriously difficult to play on, which might be a break for both defensive units, who have each struggled. These are two evenly matched sides, each with attacking quality, but we expect to see more of a cagey affair, and given the two-leg format neither will want to expend too much energy, as the conditions in Jamaica may be relatively humid. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Jamaica | Draw | Canada |
37.65% ( -0.27) | 28.38% ( 0.19) | 33.96% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.25% ( -0.68) | 59.75% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.95% ( -0.53) | 80.05% ( 0.53) |
Jamaica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% ( -0.5) | 30.59% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.18% ( -0.6) | 66.82% ( 0.6) |
Canada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% ( -0.3) | 32.96% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% ( -0.34) | 69.54% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Jamaica 37.65%
Canada 33.95%
Draw 28.38%
Jamaica | Draw | Canada |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.95% |
How you voted: Jamaica vs Canada
Jamaica
29.2%Draw
35.4%Canada
35.4%48
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2015 11.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-19 17:01:34
Wednesday, June 19
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Hungary | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Scotland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Poland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Austria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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