CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 16, 2023 at 1am UK
Hasely Crawford Stadium
Haiti2 - 3Jamaica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Haiti
Thursday, October 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Thursday, October 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: Haiti 1-1 Jamaica
Haiti have drawn their opening three Group B games, including the reverse fixture against Jamaica in Kingston. As such, we are expecting a draw on Sunday evening in what is likely to be a closely-contested encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Jamaica |
53.73% ( 2.14) | 23.09% ( -0.63) | 23.17% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
