Friendlies 1
Oct 13, 2023 at 11.35am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Japan4 - 1Canada
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Japan 4-2 Turkey
Tuesday, September 12 at 1.20pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 12 at 1.20pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Last Game: USA 2-2 Canada (3-2 pen.)
Monday, July 10 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Monday, July 10 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cuba | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Japan 3-1 Canada
Defensively, Canada have looked relatively poor of late against weaker opponents in their region, and it will not be easy containing a unit as creative as the Japanese, who are finding the back of the net at an alarming rate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 39%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Canada |
39% ( -0.15) | 27.91% ( 0.04) | 33.09% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
