Friendlies 1
Sep 12, 2023 at 1.20pm UK
Luminus Arena
Japan4 - 2Turkey
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 1-4 Japan
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
We said: Japan 1-0 Turkey
After topping their World Cup group, Japan have continued to defy the odds in recent times, running out 4-1 winners away against Germany in their last match. Considering Turkey have also been in decent form, Tuesday's game could be close, but we expect the hosts to emerge as narrow winners. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Japan had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Turkey |
| 32.66% | 26.54% ( 0.01) | 40.8% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
