Friendlies 1

Sep 12, 2023 at 1.20pm UK

Luminus Arena

Japan
4 - 2
Turkey

Ito (15'), Nakamura (28', 36'), Ito (78' pen.)
Nakamura (29'), Maikuma (43'), Kubo (45+5')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kabak (44'), Yildirim (61')
Soyuncu (44'), Ozcan (45+5'), Yuksek (76')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Japan and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Germany 1-4 Japan
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Turkey

All competitions

Last Game: Turkey 1-1 Armenia
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	4	8	10
2	Turkey	5	2	10
3	Armenia	5	1	7
4	Wales	5	-1	7
5	Latvia	5	-10	0

After topping their World Cup group, Japan have continued to defy the odds in recent times, running out 4-1 winners away against Germany in their last match. Considering Turkey have also been in decent form, Tuesday's game could be close, but we expect the hosts to emerge as narrow winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Japan had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Turkey
32.66%	26.54% ( 0.01)	40.8% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.81% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02% (

-0.04)

52.98% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42% (

-0.03)

74.58% (

0.03)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61% (

-0.02)

30.39% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42% (

-0.02)

66.58% (

0.02)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.43% (

-0.02)

25.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.56% (

-0.03)

60.44% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Japan 32.66%

Turkey 40.79%

Draw 26.54%

Japan	Draw	Turkey
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.66%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.79%