MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:36:33| >> :60:227:227:
USA national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 11pm UK
Nippert Stadium
Jamaica national football team

USA
3 - 1
Jamaica

Burke (90+6' og.), Wright (96', 109')
Scally (12')
FT
(aet)
Leigh (1')
Lembikisa (51'), Palmer (54'), Lowe (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between USA and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 0-1 Slovenia
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Jamaica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 0-0 Jamaica
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We say: USA 2-0 Jamaica

 While both sides had their share of struggles in the quarter-finals, we are backing the Americans' experience and the quality of "Captain America," aka Christian Pulisic, who is having a sensational campaign in Italy and has a knack for stepping up in big moments. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (4.48%).

Result
USADrawJamaica
69.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 19.42% (0.109 0.11) 11.25% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 42.7% (-0.515 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (-0.592 -0.59)49.04% (0.596 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (-0.536 -0.54)71.12% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.97% (-0.188 -0.19)13.03% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.42% (-0.389 -0.39)39.59% (0.393 0.39)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.1% (-0.482 -0.48)50.91% (0.487 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.73% (-0.328 -0.33)85.28% (0.33200000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    USA 69.32%
    Jamaica 11.25%
    Draw 19.42%
USADrawJamaica
2-0 @ 13.77% (0.14 0.14)
1-0 @ 13.51% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 9.36% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.77% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 69.32%
1-1 @ 9.13% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 19.42%
0-1 @ 4.48% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 11.25%

How you voted: USA vs Jamaica

USA
78.7%
Draw
10.6%
Jamaica
10.6%
47
Head to Head
Jun 25, 2023 3am
Group Stage
USA
1-1
Jamaica
Vazquez (88')
Lowe (13')
Lowe (3'), Lawrence (83'), Blake (85')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2021 10pm
Third Round
Jamaica
1-1
USA
Antonio (22')
Watson (8'), Brown (40')
Weah (11')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
Third Round
USA
2-0
Jamaica
Lawrence (1'), Lowe (34')
> Preview
Jul 26, 2021 2.30am
Quarter-Finals
USA
1-0
Jamaica
Hoppe (83')

Burke (30'), Turgott (50'), Lowe (89')
> Preview
Mar 25, 2021 5.20pm
Friendlies 1
USA
4-1
Jamaica
Dest (34'), Aaronson (53'), Lletget (83', 90')
Cannon (48')
Lowe (71')
rhs 2.0
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