MX23RW : Wednesday, June 19 19:32:44| >> :60:23:23:
USA national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 17, 2023 at 2am UK
Nippert Stadium
Trinidad and Tobago national football team

USA
3 - 0
Trin. & Tob.

Pepi (82'), Robinson (86'), Reyna (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Powder (18'), Hackshaw (90+1')
Powder (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between USA and Trinidad and Tobago, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: USA 4-0 Ghana
Wednesday, October 18 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Curacao 5-3 Trin. & Tob.
Wednesday, October 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: USA 3-0 Trinidad and Tobago

Even without two top-class attacking threats in Pulisic and Weah, the Yanks have an embarrassment of riches in the attack, and although they have not always been at their best since Berhalter returned, their overall quality always seems to overpower CONCACAF opponents. It would take a Herculean effort for the Soca Warriors to upset an American side with many players featuring in the top European leagues, whereas most of the Trinidad squad apply their trade with clubs in either lower-tiered leagues or inferior ones when compared to most across Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 6.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.66%) and 1-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for USA in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for USA.

Result
USADrawTrinidad and Tobago
78.84% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97) 14.23% (0.35 0.35) 6.94% (0.6261 0.63)
Both teams to score 41.88% (2.295 2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (0.988 0.99)39.69% (-0.987 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96% (1.018 1.02)62.04% (-1.019 -1.02)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)8.11% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)28.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Trinidad and Tobago Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.58% (2.494 2.49)54.42% (-2.492 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.47% (1.462 1.46)87.53% (-1.462 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    USA 78.83%
    Trinidad and Tobago 6.94%
    Draw 14.23%
USADrawTrinidad and Tobago
2-0 @ 13.92% (-0.64 -0.64)
3-0 @ 11.66% (-0.53 -0.53)
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.263 0.26)
4-0 @ 7.32% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.222 0.22)
4-1 @ 4.45% (0.141 0.14)
5-0 @ 3.68% (-0.166 -0.17)
5-1 @ 2.24% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.221 0.22)
6-0 @ 1.54% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.139 0.14)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 78.83%
1-1 @ 6.75% (0.207 0.21)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 2.58% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 14.23%
0-1 @ 2.69% (0.082 0.08)
1-2 @ 2.05% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 6.94%

How you voted: USA vs Trin. & Tob.

USA
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Trinidad and Tobago
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Jul 3, 2023 12am
Group Stage
USA
6-0
Trin. & Tob.
Ferreira (14', 38', 45+3' pen.), Cowell (65'), Busio (79'), Vazquez (90+4')
Neal (53')

Molino (39')
Feb 1, 2021 12am
Friendlies 1
USA
7-0
Trin. & Tob.
Lewis (3', 55'), Ferreira (10', 63'), Arriola (22', 42'), Robinson (52')

Mitchell (53'), Woo Ling (78')
Jun 23, 2019 1am
Group Stage
USA
6-0
Trin. & Tob.
Long (41', 90'), Zardes (66', 69'), Pulisic (73'), Arriola (78')
McKennie (58')

Jones (39'), Cyrus (58'), Jones (86')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
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Monday, June 24
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Monday, July 1
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary20020
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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