MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 00:52:35| >> :600:41511608:41511608:
Jamaica national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2023 at 12.30am UK
CityPark
Trinidad and Tobago national football team

Jamaica
4 - 1
Trin. & Tob.

Gray (14', 29'), Bailey (17'), Richards (90+2')
Brown (9'), Lowe (75'), Burke (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Rampersad (49')
Hackshaw (5'), Bateau (41'), Jones (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 1-1 Jamaica
Sunday, June 25 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 3-0 Saint Kitts
Sunday, June 25 at 9pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Jamaica 1-0 Trinidad and Tobago

Even though it has been a while since the Reggae Boys won a match, we believe they are due for a victory on Wednesday as this team have built some solid chemistry, and know how to handle the pressure of the Gold Cup. Trinidad surprised many with a direct approach on Sunday, which overwhelmed Saint Kitts, but penetrating an experienced Jamaican backline and beating the top goalkeeper in MLS from 2022 promises to be a lot more challenging. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
JamaicaDrawTrinidad and Tobago
46.29% (0.272 0.27) 28.54% (-0.193 -0.19) 25.18% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 42.27% (0.405 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.84% (0.545 0.55)63.16% (-0.547 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.42% (0.393 0.39)82.58% (-0.393 -0.39)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (0.402 0.4)27.43% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.09% (0.51600000000001 0.52)62.91% (-0.515 -0.52)
Trinidad and Tobago Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25% (0.238 0.24)41.75% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (0.208 0.21)78.22% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 46.28%
    Trinidad and Tobago 25.18%
    Draw 28.53%
JamaicaDrawTrinidad and Tobago
1-0 @ 14.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.45% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 10% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 25.18%

How you voted: Jamaica vs Trin. & Tob.

Jamaica
58.6%
Draw
10.3%
Trinidad and Tobago
31.0%
29
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2023 12am
Mar 11, 2023 11pm
Friendlies 2
Jamaica
0-1
Trin. & Tob.
Moore (67')
rhs 2.0
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