Friendlies 2

Mar 23, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio Cibao

Dominican Rep.
0 - 0
Aruba

Sambataro (61'), Japa (84')
Japa (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nedd (33'), Searchwell (54'), Bennett (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Dominican Republic and Aruba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominican Republic

All competitions

Last Game: Nicaragua 0-0 Dominican Rep.
Wednesday, November 22 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Aruba

All competitions

Last Game: Aruba 5-1 Cayman Islands
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cayman Islands	0	0	0
2	US Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Aruba	0	0	0

We said: Dominican Republic 2-1 Aruba

Aruba have enjoyed a decent run coming into this fixture, but the Dominican Republic will pose a greater threat compared to their last set of opponents. The Dominican Republic are playing at a higher level and should pick up a win by the end of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Aruba win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
Dominican Republic	Draw	Aruba
39.55% ( -0.28)	23.6% ( 0.05)	36.85% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 62.95% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.07% (

-0.23)

38.93% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.75% (

-0.24)

61.25% (

0.24)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99% (

-0.23)

20.01% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.8% (

-0.37)

52.2% (

0.37)

Aruba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

0.01)

21.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

0.02)

54.24% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Dominican Republic 39.55%

Aruba 36.85%

Draw 23.6%

Dominican Republic	Draw	Aruba
2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 39.55%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.85%