CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Oct 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Compleho Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad

Aruba
3 - 1
US Virgin Islands

Ostiana (52'), Luydens (61'), Molina (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Farrell (63')
Whyte (33'), Henry (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Aruba and US Virgin Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aruba

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Cayman Islands 1-2 Aruba
Monday, September 11 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cayman Islands	0	0	0
2	US Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Aruba	0	0	0

US Virgin Islands

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: US Virgin Islands 2-2 Cayman Islands
Friday, September 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cayman Islands	0	0	0
2	US Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Aruba	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aruba would win this match.

Result
Aruba	Draw	US Virgin Islands
48.26% ( 0.24)	24.75% ( -0.06)	26.99% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 54.41% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84% (

0.1)

48.16% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

0.09)

70.32% (

-0.1)

Aruba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80% (

0.14)

20% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.81% (

0.23)

52.18% (

-0.23)

US Virgin Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.01% (

-0.09)

31.98% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.55% (

-0.1)

68.44% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Aruba 48.26%

US Virgin Islands 26.99%

Draw 24.74%

Aruba	Draw	US Virgin Islands
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 48.26%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.99%