MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 21:51:33| >> :60:675:675:
US Virgin Islands national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Jun 11, 2022 at 9pm UK
 

US Virgin Islands
0 - 2
Bonaire


Mills (60'), Henry (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cicilia (81'), Alexander Isenia (84')
Wellington Fitzgeraild Frans (18'), Oleana (90')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between US Virgin Islands and Bonaire.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: US Virgin Islands 3-2 Turks & Caicos
Monday, June 6 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bonaire 2-2 Sint Maarten
Monday, June 6 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonaire would win this match.

Result
US Virgin IslandsDrawBonaire
35.93% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 23.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 40.87% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 64.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)37.06% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.74% (0.0019999999999953 0)59.26% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
US Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)20.92% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)53.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Bonaire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (0.013999999999996 0.01)18.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)49.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    US Virgin Islands 35.93%
    Bonaire 40.87%
    Draw 23.2%
US Virgin IslandsDrawBonaire
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.93%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.9%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 40.87%

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