Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.65%) and 3-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.