MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 23:56:14| >> :60:11:11:
US Virgin Islands national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Nov 16, 2023 at 11pm UK
 
Aruba national football team

US Virgin Islands
1 - 4
Aruba

Farrell (47')
Blaschka (66'), Mills (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dania (23'), Ostiana (40', 52'), Maria (79' pen.)
Richard (50')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between US Virgin Islands and Aruba.

Form, Standings, Stats

US Virgin Islands

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cayman Islands 2-1 US Virgin Islands
Tuesday, October 17 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Aruba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Aruba 3-1 US Virgin Islands
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aruba would win this match.

Result
US Virgin IslandsDrawAruba
26.55% (-1.186 -1.19) 23.3% (-0.646 -0.65) 50.15% (1.829 1.83)
Both teams to score 58.89% (1.208 1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (2.054 2.05)42.07% (-2.057 -2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (2.03 2.03)64.47% (-2.033 -2.03)
US Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (0.194 0.19)29.12% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (0.24 0.24)65.05% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09% (1.48 1.48)16.91% (-1.482 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.04% (2.569 2.57)46.96% (-2.573 -2.57)
Score Analysis
    US Virgin Islands 26.55%
    Aruba 50.15%
    Draw 23.29%
US Virgin IslandsDrawAruba
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.541 -0.54)
2-0 @ 3.75% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.467 -0.47)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.378 -0.38)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.331 0.33)
0-3 @ 4.61% (0.245 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.223 0.22)
1-4 @ 2.53% (0.259 0.26)
0-4 @ 2.05% (0.2 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 50.15%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 8pm
League C
Aruba
3-1
US Virgin Islands
Ostiana (52'), Luydens (61'), Molina (86')
Farrell (63')
Whyte (33'), Henry (60')
rhs 2.0
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