World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Windsor Park

Dominica
2 - 3
Jamaica

George (82'), Jules (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nicholson (30', 79' pen.), Dixon (42')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Dominica and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominica

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Guatemala 6-0 Dominica
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League C Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Dominica	0	0	0
2	British Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Turks and Caicos	0	0	0

Jamaica

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Jamaica 1-0 Dominican Rep.
Thursday, June 6 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	0	0	0
2	Ecuador	0	0	0
3	Mexico	0	0	0
4	Jamaica	0	0	0

Hallgrimsson may have a few regular starters unavailable, but it is difficult to envision even a Jamaican B side not winning comfortably against a Dominica squad that appeared to be in awe of their vastly superior opponents on matchday one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
Dominica	Draw	Jamaica
59.27% ( -0.05)	24.65% ( 0)	16.07% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 40.43% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.83% (

0.05)

59.16% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.4% (

0.04)

79.6% (

-0.04)

Dominica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

-0)

19.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.94% (

-0)

52.05% (

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.48% (

0.09)

49.51% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.68% (

0.07)

84.32% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Dominica 59.26%

Jamaica 16.07%

Draw 24.64%

Dominica	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 15.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 59.26%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 24.64%	0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 16.07%