CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

A.O. Shirley Recreation Ground

Dominica
2 - 0
Turks & Caicos

Laville (15'), George (61')
Humphreys (41'), Williams (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martin (58'), Howell (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Dominica and Turks and Caicos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: British Virgin I. 1-2 Dominica
Thursday, November 16 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Dominica	0	0	0
2	British Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Turks and Caicos	0	0	0

Turks and Caicos

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Turks & Caicos 2-2 British Virgin I.
Monday, October 16 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Dominica	0	0	0
2	British Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Turks and Caicos	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 88.09%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 3.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 4-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a Turks and Caicos win it was 0-1 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominica would win this match.

Result
Dominica	Draw	Turks and Caicos
88.09% ( 0.11)	8.49% ( -0.1)	3.42% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 40.37% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.73% (

0.59)

27.27% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.17% (

0.74)

47.83% (

-0.74)

Dominica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.05% (

0.11)

3.95% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.28% (

0.36)

16.71% (

-0.36)

Turks and Caicos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.03% (

0.47)

57.97% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.42% (

0.26)

89.58% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Dominica 88.07%

Turks and Caicos 3.42%

Draw 8.49%

Dominica	Draw	Turks and Caicos
3-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.08) 6-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 6-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 7-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.04) 7-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.21% Total : 88.07%	1-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 8.49%	0-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.07% Total : 3.42%