CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Mar 28, 2023 at 12am UK
St Lucia3 - 1Dominica
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Saint Lucia and Dominica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Anguilla 1-2 St Lucia
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominica 0-1 St Lucia
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Dominica had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Dominica win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint Lucia | Draw | Dominica |
50.94% ( 0.16) | 27.5% ( -0.01) | 21.55% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 41.43% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.58% ( -0.1) | 62.41% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.96% ( -0.08) | 82.04% ( 0.08) |
Saint Lucia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.19% ( 0.03) | 24.81% ( -0.03) |