MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 09:14:53| >> :600:241675:241675:
Guatemala national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
Dominica national football team

Guatemala
6 - 0
Dominica

Galindo (4', 48'), Yanes (27'), Rubin (58'), Carlos Martinez (78'), Morales (83')
Yanes (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bertrand (8'), Joseph (45+3')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Guatemala and Dominica.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Nicaragua
Monday, May 27 at 1am in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 2-0 Dominica
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dominica win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
GuatemalaDrawDominica
38.63% (-1.228 -1.23) 28.64% (0.14 0.14) 32.73% (1.092 1.09)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.2% (-0.271 -0.27)60.8% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.16% (-0.202 -0.2)80.84% (0.209 0.21)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (-0.85900000000001 -0.86)30.52% (0.864 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (-1.034 -1.03)66.74% (1.039 1.04)
Dominica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (0.637 0.64)34.36% (-0.632 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (0.676 0.68)71.07% (-0.67100000000001 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 38.62%
    Dominica 32.73%
    Draw 28.63%
GuatemalaDrawDominica
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.62%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.48% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 11.2% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.148 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.263 0.26)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.129 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 32.73%

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