Friendlies 1

Jan 14, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Cementos Progreso

Guatemala
0 - 1
Iceland

Carlos Martinez (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thorvaldsson (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Guatemala and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Jamaica
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Iceland

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Iceland
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

We said: Guatemala 1-1 Iceland

While Iceland will be keen to return to winning ways following back-to-back defeats, we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Guatemala side that has seen their last two friendlies finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 43.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Iceland
43.67% ( -0.15)	28.22% ( 0.09)	28.1% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 44.98% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.27% (

-0.28)

60.72% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.21% (

-0.21)

80.79% (

0.22)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

-0.21)

27.64% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82% (

-0.27)

63.18% (

0.28)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.16% (

-0.11)

37.84% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.39% (

-0.1)

74.61% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Guatemala 43.67%

Iceland 28.1%

Draw 28.22%

Guatemala	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 43.67%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.22%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.1%