MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 22:55:30| >> :60:101:101:
Ecuador national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 13, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Subaru Park
Bolivia national football team

Ecuador
3 - 1
Bolivia

Valencia (18'), Yeboah (25'), Caicedo (70' pen.)
Gruezo (80'), Caicedo (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Terceros (88')
Fernandez (9'), Algaranaz (31'), Villamil (70'), Justiniano (77'), Ramallo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 10 at 12am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Bolivia
Saturday, June 1 at 2.30am in International Friendlies

We said: Ecuador 2-1 Bolivia

A closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Thursday between two evenly-matched nations, but Ecuador will be regarded as slight favourites and should have enough quality in the final third to outscore their opponents en route to a slender friendly victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 8.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.79%) and 3-0 (11.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawBolivia
74.36% (-0.56099999999999 -0.56) 17.54% (0.15 0.15) 8.1% (0.4099 0.41)
Both teams to score 36.72% (1.278 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.78% (0.68 0.68)50.22% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.6 0.6)72.17% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.06% (0.034999999999997 0.03)11.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.69% (0.077000000000005 0.08)37.31% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.7% (1.436 1.44)58.3% (-1.435 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.24% (0.758 0.76)89.75% (-0.759 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 74.34%
    Bolivia 8.1%
    Draw 17.54%
EcuadorDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 15.71% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-0 @ 14.79% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-0 @ 11.13% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 5.92% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.19% (0.077 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.52% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.109 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 74.34%
1-1 @ 7.98% (0.159 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-2 @ 2.29% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.54%
0-1 @ 3.76% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.15% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 8.1%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Bolivia

Ecuador
86.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bolivia
4.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 12am
Group Stage
Bolivia
1-2
Ecuador
Ramallo (83')
Cuellar (90')
Paez (45'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Jun 18, 2023 12.30am
Friendlies 1
Ecuador
1-0
Bolivia
Valencia (69')
Estupinan (13'), Pacho (36')

Roca (41'), Terceros (53'), Arrascaita (73'), Ursino (85')
Oct 8, 2021 1.30am
Mar 29, 2021 9.30pm
Friendlies 1
Ecuador
2-1
Bolivia
Martinez (37'), Estrada (59')
Arroyo (55')
Ramallo (90+4')
Montero (12')
Nov 12, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
2-3
Ecuador
Carlos Arce (37'), Moreno (60')
Jusino (18'), Montero (78')
Caicedo (46'), Mena (55'), Gruezo (88' pen.)
Caicedo (45'), Gruezo (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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