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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stockport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Stockport

Quitirna (68' pen.)
Anderson (14'), Lindsey (15'), Williams (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barry (6')
Onyango (40'), Norwood (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-4 Stockport
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Stockport County

While Crawley have avoided defeat in their last two matches against this opponent at this venue, their attack did look blunt leading up to the international break, which does not bode well for their chances against a Stockport side that have only conceded one goal this term. The time off may have given the hosts a chance to reset, but we feel the Hatters will still come away with the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
28.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 21.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 50.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 66.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (0.075000000000003 0.08)32.88% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (0.086999999999996 0.09)54.59% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.039999999999992 0.04)13.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38% (0.073999999999998 0.07)40.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.12%
    Stockport County 50.23%
    Draw 21.65%
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.12%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.46% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-4 @ 3.06% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 50.23%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stockport

Crawley Town
22.2%
Draw
16.7%
Stockport County
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Crawley
1-1
Stockport
Lolas (83')
Lindsey (21'), Orsi (54')
Sarcevic (61')
Pye (20')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
3-3
Crawley
Barry (13'), Sarcevic (36'), Olaofe (89')
Powell (56')
Campbell (42'), Maguire (54'), Orsi (66')
Gladwin (38'), Orsi (56'), Lolas (71'), Henry (85'), Williams (90+1')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stockport
2-1
Crawley
Wootton (12', 51')
Powell (9')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Crawley
3-2
Stockport
Tilley (5'), Telford (35'), Tsaroulla (56')
Crankshaw (17'), Hussey (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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