MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:53:24| >> :60:10:10:
Canada national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 20, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Suriname national football team

Canada
3 - 0
Suriname

David (24'), Shaffelburg (30', 67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Vaessen (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Canada and Suriname, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Suriname 0-1 Canada
Friday, November 15 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina359
2Canada3-14
3Chile3-12
4Peru3-31
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Suriname 0-1 Canada
Friday, November 15 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Canada 2-0 Suriname (Canada advance 3-0 on aggregate)

Suriname may be able to compete with the elite teams in CONCACAF, but they have yet to show that they can put one of those sides under duress, which is why we expect Canada to win comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Canada had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
CanadaDrawSuriname
29.01% (-0.613 -0.61) 24.76% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 46.23% (0.636 0.64)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.327 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06% (-0.255 -0.26)46.94% (0.262 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81% (-0.24 -0.24)69.19% (0.246 0.25)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.56 -0.56)29.85% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.687 -0.69)65.94% (0.694 0.69)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (0.173 0.17)20.37% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (0.271 0.27)52.78% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Canada 29.01%
    Suriname 46.23%
    Draw 24.76%
CanadaDrawSuriname
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.7% (0.162 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.08% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.23%

How you voted: Canada vs Suriname

Canada
90.0%
Draw
3.3%
Suriname
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Nov 15, 2024 11.30pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Suriname
0-1
Canada

Pinas (34'), Abena (37'), Pherai (90+2')
Hoilett (82')
Johnston (48'), Waterman (54'), Osorio (90+4'), Choiniere (90')
Jun 9, 2021 2.05am
rhs 2.0
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