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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
54.84% ( 0.08) | 23.59% ( 0.01) | 21.57% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% ( -0.11) | 48.24% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% ( -0.1) | 70.39% ( 0.1) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.54% ( -0.01) | 17.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.06% ( -0.02) | 47.94% ( 0.02) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.25% ( -0.14) | 36.75% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.47% ( -0.14) | 73.53% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 54.83% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |