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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Cambridge United |
50.5% ( -0.27) | 24.29% ( 0.16) | 25.21% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.4% ( -0.57) | 47.59% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.2% ( -0.53) | 69.79% ( 0.53) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% ( -0.33) | 18.87% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.66% ( -0.55) | 50.33% ( 0.54) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% ( -0.22) | 33.11% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.29% ( -0.24) | 69.71% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.49% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |