World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Chile4 - 2Venezuela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, November 16 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Saturday, November 16 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, November 14 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, November 14 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Chile 0-0 Venezuela
Venezuela are the draw specialists in the section, sharing the points on six occasions, and while it would not be a surprise to see the visitors record a narrow win on Tuesday, we are expecting a tight and potentially uneventful match to finish goalless. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Venezuela |
45.35% ( -0.65) | 26.95% ( -0.1) | 27.7% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 48.25% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
