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World Cup
Bolivia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Venezuela national football team

Bolivia
4 - 0
Venezuela

Vaca (13'), Algaranaz (45+5' pen.), Terceros (46'), Eduardo Monteiro de Castro Becerra (89')
Cuellar (9'), Vaca (14'), Eduardo Monteiro de Castro Becerra (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Casseres Jr (78'), Soteldo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 1-3 Panama
Tuesday, July 2 at 2am in Copa America

Venezuela

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Copa America

We said: Bolivia 1-2 Venezuela

 Venezuela will be targeting maximum points against a nation that has lost five of their six qualifiers, but we think that they may have to settle for a draw after failing to win any of their previous 12 away matches in World Cup qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
BoliviaDrawVenezuela
19.65% (-0.874 -0.87) 26.65% (-0.244 -0.24) 53.7% (1.114 1.11)
Both teams to score 41.18% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.55% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)61.45% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.67% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)81.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.58% (-1.011 -1.01)46.42% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.95% (-0.786 -0.79)82.04% (0.782 0.78)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.46899999999999 0.47)23.15% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.684 0.68)57.02% (-0.687 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 19.65%
    Venezuela 53.69%
    Draw 26.64%
BoliviaDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-1 @ 4.63% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 3.16% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 1.19% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.65%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 10.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 15.72% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 11.5% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.61% (0.238 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.05% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 53.69%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Venezuela

Bolivia
25.2%
Draw
15.0%
Venezuela
59.8%
107
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 10pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
4-1
Bolivia
Rondon (24', 34', 67'), Machis (55')
Casseres Jr (80')
Miranda (38')
Sagredo (45')
Justiniano (60')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
3-1
Venezuela
Moreno (5', 83'), Bejarano (60')
Bejarano (12'), Saavedra (45+3'), Justiniano (90+5')
Chancellor (26')
Angel (33'), Gonzalez (45+2')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2019 11pm
International Friendlies
Venezuela
4-1
Bolivia
Herrera (38'), Machis (41'), Rondon (50', 87' pen.)
Alvarez (55')
Jusino (44')
Jun 22, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
1-3
Venezuela
Justiniano (83')
Justiniano (6'), Castro (63')
Machis (2', 55'), Martinez (87')
rhs 2.0
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