Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

As inconsistent as the Americans have been throughout the year, there are far too many holes in the Bolivian backline and a lack of cohesion among the South Americans, which is why we believe the hosts will claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 71.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 10.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.29%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for USA in this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Bolivia
71.29% ( 0.07)	18.48% ( 0.02)	10.24% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.22% (

-0.31)

47.78% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

-0.29)

69.97% (

0.29)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

-0.07)

12.1% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.35% (

-0.14)

37.65% (

0.14)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.95% (

-0.37)

52.04% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.97% (

-0.24)

86.03% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

USA 71.27%

Bolivia 10.24%

Draw 18.48%

USA	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 14.04% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 71.27%	1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.5% Total : 18.48%	0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.24%