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World Cup
Colombia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Ecuador national football team

Colombia
0 - 1
Ecuador


Portilla (60'), Duran (73'), Lucumi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (7')
Gruezo (54'), Beccacece (71'), Caicedo (85')
Hincapie (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 3-2 Colombia
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 4-0 Bolivia
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

We said: Colombia 1-1 Ecuador

 Ecuador are a very good outfit with a brilliant defence, and we are expecting this to be a tough match for Colombia. It would not be a shock to see a victory either way, but we believe that the two sides will play out a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colombia win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Ecuador has a probability of 15.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Ecuador win it is 0-1 (6.43%).

Result
ColombiaDrawEcuador
61.18% (-1.764 -1.76) 23.71% (0.637 0.64) 15.11% (1.122 1.12)
Both teams to score 40.89% (0.797 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.58% (-0.372 -0.37)57.42% (0.367 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.77% (-0.296 -0.3)78.23% (0.292 0.29)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.777 -0.78)18.53% (0.773 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-1.322 -1.32)49.76% (1.317 1.32)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.19% (1.441 1.44)49.8% (-1.445 -1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.48% (0.984 0.98)84.52% (-0.989 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 61.17%
    Ecuador 15.11%
    Draw 23.7%
ColombiaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 15.55% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 13.11% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.37% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.279 -0.28)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 61.17%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 9.23% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.19% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.265 0.27)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 15.11%

How you voted: Colombia vs Ecuador

Colombia
42.5%
Draw
29.2%
Ecuador
28.3%
113
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2023 12.30am
Group Stage
Ecuador
0-0
Colombia
Hincapie (33'), Gruezo (41')
Mosquera (9'), Sanchez (25'), Arias (27'), Cuesta (77')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-0
Ecuador
Estupinan (54'), Mena (77')
> Preview
Jun 14, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Colombia
1-0
Ecuador
Uribe (25'), Munoz (79'), Borre (90')
Valencia (87')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 9pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
6-1
Colombia
Arboleda (7'), Mena (9'), Estrada (32'), Arreaga (39'), Plata (78'), Estupinan (90+1')
Ibarra (45+3'), Perlaza (51'), Plata (60'), Mendez (68')
Plata (80')
Rodriguez (45+1' pen.)
Lerma (13'), Murillo (53'), Cuadrado (66'), Suarez (86'), Fabra (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
0-1
Colombia

Arreaga (65')
Uribe (42')
Barrios (80')
rhs 2.0
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