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World Cup
Colombia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Ecuador national football team

Colombia
0 - 1
Ecuador


Portilla (60'), Duran (73'), Lucumi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (7')
Gruezo (54'), Beccacece (71'), Caicedo (85')
Hincapie (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 3-2 Colombia
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 4-0 Bolivia
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

We said: Colombia 1-1 Ecuador

 Ecuador are a very good outfit with a brilliant defence, and we are expecting this to be a tough match for Colombia. It would not be a shock to see a victory either way, but we believe that the two sides will play out a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
ColombiaDrawEcuador
59.89% (-3.048 -3.05) 24.29% (1.22 1.22) 15.82% (1.829 1.83)
Both teams to score 40.83% (0.736 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66% (-1.288 -1.29)58.34% (1.29 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.05% (-1.019 -1.02)78.96% (1.021 1.02)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-1.603 -1.6)19.36% (1.604 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (-2.702 -2.7)51.15% (2.705 2.71)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.63% (1.883 1.88)49.37% (-1.88 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.78% (1.293 1.29)84.22% (-1.291 -1.29)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 59.89%
    Ecuador 15.82%
    Draw 24.28%
ColombiaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 15.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.88% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.258 -0.26)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.49 -0.49)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 59.89%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.56 0.56)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.458 0.46)
2-2 @ 3.21% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.664 0.66)
1-2 @ 3.91% (0.396 0.4)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.348 0.35)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 15.82%

How you voted: Colombia vs Ecuador

Colombia
42.5%
Draw
29.2%
Ecuador
28.3%
113
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2023 12.30am
Group Stage
Ecuador
0-0
Colombia
Hincapie (33'), Gruezo (41')
Mosquera (9'), Sanchez (25'), Arias (27'), Cuesta (77')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-0
Ecuador
Estupinan (54'), Mena (77')
> Preview
Jun 14, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Colombia
1-0
Ecuador
Uribe (25'), Munoz (79'), Borre (90')
Valencia (87')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 9pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
6-1
Colombia
Arboleda (7'), Mena (9'), Estrada (32'), Arreaga (39'), Plata (78'), Estupinan (90+1')
Ibarra (45+3'), Perlaza (51'), Plata (60'), Mendez (68')
Plata (80')
Rodriguez (45+1' pen.)
Lerma (13'), Murillo (53'), Cuadrado (66'), Suarez (86'), Fabra (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
0-1
Colombia

Arreaga (65')
Uribe (42')
Barrios (80')
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