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World Cup
Bolivia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Colombia national football team

Bolivia
1 - 0
Colombia

Terceros (58')
Miranda (90+3')
Cuellar (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castano (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Argentina
Tuesday, September 10 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Bolivia 1-3 Colombia

 If Colombia can get to grips with the altitude at El Alto, then they undoubtedly have the quality to see off this Bolivia side, and keep the pressure on Argentina at the top of the standings. After a surprise three points on the road last month, Bolivia will be seeking a fourth win in five qualifiers, but Colombia are yet to lose in regular time under Lorenzo, and even with their significant home advantage, it looks an unlikely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
BoliviaDrawColombia
27.08% (-0.456 -0.46) 28.71% (0.277 0.28) 44.21% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 43.13% (-0.98 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.24% (-1.091 -1.09)62.75% (1.087 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.71% (-0.798 -0.8)82.28% (0.795 0.8)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17% (-1.001 -1)39.83% (0.998 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (-0.933 -0.93)76.5% (0.93000000000001 0.93)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.431 -0.43)28.32% (0.427 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)64.05% (0.541 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 27.07%
    Colombia 44.21%
    Draw 28.71%
BoliviaDrawColombia
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 6.03% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.28% (0.45 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 14.23% (0.4 0.4)
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 44.21%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Colombia

Bolivia
19.4%
Draw
15.1%
Colombia
65.5%
139
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2024 10pm
Friendlies 1
Colombia
3-0
Bolivia
Arias (5'), Cordoba (25'), Diaz (42')
Lerma (34'), Uribe (70')
Munoz (68')

Cuellar (70')
Menacho (68')
> Preview
Mar 24, 2022 11.30pm
Group Stage
Colombia
3-0
Bolivia
Diaz (39'), Borja (72'), Uribe (90')
Cuadrado (68')

Haquin (12'), Garcia (57'), Maria Carrasco (58'), Enoumba (69')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
1-1
Colombia
Saucedo (83')
Jusino (27'), Villarroel (62'), Algaranaz (90+4')
Algaranaz (90+7')
Martinez (69')
Munoz (45+2')
> Preview
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