Copa America | Group Stage

Jul 3, 2024 at 2am UK

Levi's Stadium

Brazil
vs.
Colombia

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa America Group Stage clash between Brazil and Colombia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Paraguay 1-4 Brazil
Saturday, June 29 at 2am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Colombia

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Colombia 3-0 Costa Rica
Friday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw has a probability of 24.1% and a win for Colombia has a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Colombia win it is 0-1 (6.74%).

Result
Brazil	Draw	Colombia
53.53% ( 0.1)	24.05% ( -0.07)	22.41% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.75% (

0.24)

49.25% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.69% (

0.22)

71.31% (

-0.22)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.67% (

0.13)

18.32% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.57% (

0.22)

49.42% (

-0.22)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.49% (

0.1)

36.5% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.7% (

0.1)

73.29% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Brazil 53.53%

Colombia 22.41%

Draw 24.04%

Brazil	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.53%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.41%