Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Colombia3 - 2Romania
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 0-1 Colombia
Friday, March 22 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Friday, March 22 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
We said: Colombia 2-0 Romania
We expect Romania to give a better account of themselves than they did against Northern Ireland, that draw potentially acting as the catalyst for an improved performance here. However, we cannot back against Colombia, who may prevail through a goal in each half. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 43.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Romania had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Romania win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Romania |
43.75% ( 0.03) | 28.14% ( 0.15) | 28.1% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.56% ( -0.58) | 60.43% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.43% ( -0.44) | 80.57% ( 0.44) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( -0.26) | 27.46% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.05% ( -0.33) | 62.94% ( 0.33) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.32% ( -0.47) | 37.67% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.54% ( -0.46) | 74.45% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Colombia 43.75%
Romania 28.1%
Draw 28.13%
| Colombia | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 43.75% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.1% |
How you voted: Colombia vs Romania
Colombia
74.0%Draw
8.0%Romania
18.0%50
