Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Puskas Akademia Pancho Arena
Israel1 - 2Romania
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Israel 1-1 Switzerland
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 8 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Romania | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Last Game: Romania 4-0 Andorra
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 8 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Romania | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra | 8 | -14 | 2 |
We said: Israel 2-2 Romania
While Romania can settle for a draw on Saturday, the onus is on Israel to take the game to the Tricolours as they endeavour to claim the maximum points required to keep their top-two hopes alive. Both nations could not be separated in the reverse fixture two months ago and another closely-fought contest may be on the cards in Hungary, which could therefore see the spoils shared in an entertaining draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Romania had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Israel | Draw | Romania |
38.76% ( -0.1) | 27.06% ( -0.03) | 34.18% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
