Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Israel in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Israel.
0.16) 
-0.17) 
