Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Arena Nationala

Romania
1 - 1
Israel

Alibec (27')
Marin (56'), Dragusin (61'), Puscas (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gluh (53')
Kanichowsky (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Romania and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Switzerland 2-2 Romania
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	4	9	10
2	Romania	4	3	8
3	Israel	4	-1	7
4	Kosovo	4	-1	3
5	Belarus	4	-6	3
6	Andorra	4	-4	1

Israel

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Israel 2-1 Andorra
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	4	9	10
2	Romania	4	3	8
3	Israel	4	-1	7
4	Kosovo	4	-1	3
5	Belarus	4	-6	3
6	Andorra	4	-4	1

An entertaining encounter could be in store on Saturday considering that Romania have scored in eight of their last 10 internationals and Israel have netted in 11 of their last 12 matches. There is little to separate these two nations, but we believe that Romania will just edge this contest on home soil to consolidate their place in the top two of Group I. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Israel had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Israel win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Romania	Draw	Israel
49.77% ( -3.56)	25.6% ( 0.54)	24.63% ( 3.01)

Both teams to score 49.68% (

1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.65% (

0.66)

53.35% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

0.55)

74.89% (

-0.56)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54% (

-1.22)

21.46% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.51% (

-1.91)

54.48% (

1.9)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.26% (

3.23)

36.74% (

-3.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.47% (

3.09)

73.53% (

-3.1)

Score Analysis

Romania 49.76%

Israel 24.63%

Draw 25.59%

Romania	Draw	Israel
1-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.79) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.98) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.71) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.76%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.34) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.55) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.28) Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.63%