Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2023 at 5pm UK

Belarus
0 - 5
Switzerland

Khvashchinskiy (11'), Yablonski (25'), Ebong (84')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Steffen (4', 17', 29'), Xhaka (62'), Amdouni (65')
Itten (40'), Xhaka (48')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belarus and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

Last Game: Oman 2-0 Belarus
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Switzerland

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 6-1 Switzerland
Tuesday, December 6 at 7pm in World Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	3	2	6
2	Switzerland	3	1	6
3	Cameroon	3	0	4
4	Serbia	3	-3	1

We said: Belarus 0-3 Switzerland

These two nations met in qualification for Euro 2000 and in a friendly in 2017 with Switzerland winning all three encounters to nil. A repeat of that result looks likely with Belarus out of sorts given off-the-field matters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
Belarus	Draw	Switzerland
24.61% ( -0.06)	25.25% ( -0.04)	50.13% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 50.69% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98% (

0.12)

52.02% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.24% (

0.11)

73.76% (

-0.1)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.97% (

0.01)

36.03% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.19% (

0.01)

72.81% (

-0.01)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23% (

0.1)

20.76% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.6% (

0.15)

53.4% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Belarus 24.61%

Switzerland 50.12%

Draw 25.25%

Belarus	Draw	Switzerland
1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 24.61%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 50.12%