Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Szusza Ferenc Stadion

Belarus
2 - 1
Kosovo

Morozov (73'), Ebong (75')
Bykov (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Muriqi (87' pen.)
Kryeziu (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belarus and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Belarus 1-2 Israel
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	3	9	9
2	Romania	3	3	7
3	Israel	3	-2	4
4	Kosovo	3	0	3
5	Andorra	3	-3	1
6	Belarus	3	-7	0

Kosovo

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Kosovo 0-0 Romania
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	3	9	9
2	Romania	3	3	7
3	Israel	3	-2	4
4	Kosovo	3	0	3
5	Andorra	3	-3	1
6	Belarus	3	-7	0

While Belarus may rank higher than their opponents, Kosovo have played commendably in their qualifiers, opening the door to nick a narrow victory over a Belarusian side that are struggling for performances and results in competitive and non-competitive fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Belarus in this match.

Result
Belarus	Draw	Kosovo
43.93% ( 19.91)	21.71% ( -4.55)	34.36% ( -15.37)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

22.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

26.44)

29.83% (

-26.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

26.32)

50.99% (

-26.32)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

24.43)

14.5% (

-24.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

33.15)

42.49% (

-33.16)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

4.31)

18.38% (

-4.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

6.83)

49.52% (

-6.84)

Score Analysis

Belarus 43.93%

Kosovo 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

Belarus	Draw	Kosovo
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 2.59) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 3.58) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -3.19) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 1.04) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 3.23) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 1.96) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 2.18) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 1.9) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 1.25) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 1.09) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.93) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -3.64) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 2.81) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -6.17) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 1.92) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( -1.78) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -8.59) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 1.89) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -5.89) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -2.65) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.91) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.85) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.87) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%