Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri

Kosovo
1 - 0
Israel

Rashica (41')
Zyba (45+2'), Krasniqi (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Revivo (23'), Vitor (84')
Revivo (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Kosovo and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kosovo

All competitions

Last Game: Andorra 0-3 Kosovo
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	8	9	16
2	Switzerland	7	12	15
3	Israel	6	0	11
4	Kosovo	7	0	7
5	Belarus	8	-7	6
6	Andorra	8	-14	2

Israel

All competitions

Last Game: Israel 1-0 Belarus
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	8	9	16
2	Switzerland	7	12	15
3	Israel	6	0	11
4	Kosovo	7	0	7
5	Belarus	8	-7	6
6	Andorra	8	-14	2

Both Israeli clubs showed great heart to be competitive in Europe in midweek, and with some of those players set to feature here, the visitors will be determined to win for more than just footballing reasons. Kosovo must win to keep their minute chances of progression alive, but without Zhegrova and Rrahmani, the task has been made much more arduous. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Israel had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result
Kosovo	Draw	Israel
46.5% ( -1.01)	24.26% ( 0.03)	29.24% ( 0.98)

Both teams to score 57.69% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.39% (

0.44)

44.6% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03% (

0.42)

66.97% (

-0.42)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.68% (

-0.24)

19.32% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.92% (

-0.4)

51.08% (

0.4)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

0.91)

28.49% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

1.13)

64.27% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

Kosovo 46.5%

Israel 29.24%

Draw 24.26%

Kosovo	Draw	Israel
2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 46.5%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.24%