Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Estadi Nacional

Andorra
0 - 3
Kosovo

Alaez (14'), Vales (44'), Pujol (80'), Sanchez (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rashica (26', 71'), Zeqiri (83')
Vojvoda (14'), Dellova (78')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Andorra and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland 3-0 Andorra
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	6	12	14
2	Romania	6	5	12
3	Israel	6	0	11
4	Kosovo	6	-3	4
5	Belarus	6	-7	4
6	Andorra	6	-7	2

Kosovo

All competitions

Last Game: Romania 2-0 Kosovo
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	6	12	14
2	Romania	6	5	12
3	Israel	6	0	11
4	Kosovo	6	-3	4
5	Belarus	6	-7	4
6	Andorra	6	-7	2

Kosovo have been struggling to score goals in Euro qualifying so far, and the task will not be made easier by Muriqi's suspension for Thursday's match. Andorra are known for their robust defence, which makes them difficult to penetrate in the final third. Therefore, Kosovo will certainly have to step up in the offensive half of the field to break the home team's resistance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.49%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result
Andorra	Draw	Kosovo
13.7% ( 0.01)	22.34% ( 0.01)	63.97% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 41.3% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.02% (

-0.01)

54.99% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.74% (

-0.01)

76.26% (

0.01)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.56% (

50.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.04% (

0.01)

84.96% (

-0.01)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34% (

-0.01)

16.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.49% (

-0.01)

46.52% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Andorra 13.7%

Kosovo 63.96%

Draw 22.33%

Andorra	Draw	Kosovo
1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 13.7%	1-1 @ 10.3% 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.33%	0-1 @ 15.06% 0-2 @ 13.49% 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.96%