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Belarus national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
Romania national football team

Belarus
0 - 0
Romania


Bakhar (75'), Ignatovich (73')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belarus and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Israel 1-0 Belarus
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Switzerland61214
2Romania6512
3Israel6011
4Kosovo6-34
5Belarus6-74
6Andorra6-72
All competitions
Last Game: Romania 2-0 Kosovo
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Switzerland61214
2Romania6512
3Israel6011
4Kosovo6-34
5Belarus6-74
6Andorra6-72

We said: Belarus 1-2 Romania

With these two teams having already played out a closely-fought encounter, we can only expect much of the same, particularly at a neutral venue. Nevertheless, Romania are yet to lose in this group and that should continue here, potentially with another 2-1 win over this opposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.86%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
BelarusDrawRomania
14.82% (0.025 0.03) 22.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 62.59% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 43.2% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.0040000000000013 0)75.37% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.89% (0.034999999999997 0.03)48.11% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)83.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)16.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.31% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)46.69% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 14.82%
    Romania 62.59%
    Draw 22.58%
BelarusDrawRomania
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 3.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.82%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 14.4%
0-2 @ 12.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 7.66% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 3.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-5 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 62.59%

How you voted: Belarus vs Romania

Belarus
10.0%
Draw
20.0%
Romania
70.0%
80
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Romania
2-1
Belarus
Stanciu (17'), Burca (19')
Morozov (86')
Nov 11, 2020 5pm
Friendlies 1
Romania
5-3
Belarus
Mitrea (11'), Marin (20' pen.), Nedelcearu (31', 55'), Puscas (44')
Bicfalvi (71'), Mitrea (75')
Kendysh (63'), Bakhar (80'), Klimovich (90+2')
Naumov (19'), Bakhar (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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