Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Borough Briggs
Elgin1 - 0Dundee Utd Res.
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Elgin City and Dundee United Reserves.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stirling 2-2 Elgin
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Stranraer | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Elgin City | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Stirling Albion | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 3-0 Dundee Utd Res.
Tuesday, August 10 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 10 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Dundee United Reserves had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Dundee United Reserves win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Dundee United Reserves |
62.01% ( -0.09) | 20.44% ( 0.02) | 17.55% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% ( 0.05) | 40.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% ( 0.05) | 62.54% ( -0.05) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% ( -0.01) | 12.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.63% ( -0.02) | 38.37% ( 0.02) |
| Dundee United Reserves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% ( 0.11) | 36.3% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.91% ( 0.11) | 73.09% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Elgin City 62.01%
Dundee United Reserves 17.55%
Draw 20.44%
| Elgin City | Draw | Dundee United Reserves |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 62.01% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.44% | 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 17.55% |
